5.09.2007

New post hopefully this afternoon

Another busy, busy day here in high school journalism land as the kids prepare to go to press tonight. I'm hoping to get a post on the Mariners up this afternoon.

Until then, here's the question of the day: Who's the only guy in Seattle happy Jeff Weaver is a Mariner?

Answer to come in the post.

5.07.2007

Bonds' pursuit of 755 a heck of a lot more complex than we think

For something that mostly operates on a plane outside of anything resembling reality, it's amazing how often they become a microcosm of what's going on in society at large.

It's happening more in Barry Bonds' chase of Hank Aaron than I think any of us wanted to realize.

For years -- ever since we realized 755 was going to be within the reach of a man many believe to have cheated the sport with prolific steroid use that matched his prodigious home runs -- we assumed this was an issue of Big Bad Barry Bonds against the overwhelming court of opinion rooting for him to fail.

We'll make no such assumptions any more. A recent poll found that only 52 percent of baseball fans hope Bonds doesn't break the record, even though 73 percent of them think he used steroids. Beyond that:

Race plays a unique role. Black fans in the survey are more than twice as likely to want Bonds to break Aaron's record (74 percent to 28 percent), and 37 percent of black fans think Bonds used steroids, compared to 76 percent of white fans.

Blacks are nearly twice as likely to think Bonds has been treated unfairly (46 percent to 25 percent). Why? The survey found that 41 percent of black fans think this is due to the steroids issue, 25 percent think it's because of his race, and 21 percent blame Bonds' personality.

For whites who think Bonds has been treated unfairly, 66 percent blame steroids. Virtually none blame race.
As Jayson Stark points out, this takes a lot of commonly held beliefs about Bonds' chase and turns them on their head.

As for me? I'm still not sure how I feel about all of it. Maybe it's because I've been waiting until the moment actually comes before passing judgement; like a lot of sports fans, I find myself conflicted between awe and disappointment. Maybe I'll have more tangible emotions when it actually does happen.

Until then, I'll continue to be fascinated by how it all plays out.

Finally: Welcome, MLB, to the 21st (or is it 20th?) Century

Let's be honest: In it's history, Major League Baseball has rarely been confused with other professional sports leagues in terms of its ability to be forward thinking and cutting edge in promoting its sport.

But for as much heat as Bud Selig takes as commissioner -- some of it entirely deserved -- there are some things he's done right in his tenure. (Divisional realignment and the wild card come to mind, for example.)

Well, count today's announcement that MLB will televise this year's amateur baseball draft as another step in the right direction for the sport:

For the first time in its history, the baseball entry draft will be aired live on ESPN2. Coverage will begin on Thursday, June 7th at 2 p.m. ET from Disney's Wide World of Sports Complex in Orlando, Fla. The broadcast will end at 6 p.m. ET.
In the understatement of the day, Selig said this is an idea "whose time has come," and I agree. But while MLB is being revolutionary, why don't they take some cues from the other sports to spice up the draft as well?
  • Speaking of ideas whose time have come, baseball needs to lift its archaic rule and let teams trade their picks. Even if it's too big of a stretch for baseball to allow picks to be a part of player trades, it should allow teams to swap picks as they see fit. Part of what makes such compelling drama for the NFL Draft is the idea that someone might move up or down to get their guy. The MLB amateur draft is littered with poor franchises taking guys they think they can sign, rather than the best guys available. Why not let the Royals trade down to stockpile picks they think they can more affordably sign while letting the Yankees move up to get that can't-miss prospect that will help them win the pennant next year?
  • Televise more that just the first round. Get through at least the first five rounds. While I realize the NFL draft takes all day to get through its first three rounds on day one, the picks come a lot faster in the MLB draft.
  • Pay a guy to become your Mel Kiper Jr. Kiper doesn't just provide valuable information about football players -- there are a lot of guys out there on the Internet who do things very similar to what Kiper does -- he promotes the NFL Draft and the league in a way that simply can't be duplicated. He raises the profile of his network and the NFL simply with the hype that's as hyperbolic as his hair. Find a baseball draftnik and pay him a ridiculous amount of money to shill your product.
There are other ideas out there, but these would be a huge first step for a league that continually finds itself losing ground with young fans.

5.05.2007

No posts for a couple of days

I'm out of town for the weekend with my wife, so you won't hear from me for a couple of days. See you on Monday.

5.04.2007

Why Mariners fans have every right to be pessimists

We Mariners fans are a pessimistic lot by nature. That's what 30 years of losing interrupted by only a half-decade of winning that served as little more than a big tease will do to you.

So it always amuses me when someone not from the Northwest comes to town and is surprised by our collective angst.

I love reading Geoff Baker's Mariners blog over at The Seattle Times, but the Montreal native seems perpetually confounded by our consistently negative nature. Baker, who joined the Mariners beat after long-time reporter Bob Sherwin retired last year, never has been one to sugar-coat the Mariners' problems -- a refreshing posture for a reporter in the mainstream media. But he also sometimes seems mystified that we aren't more content with the fact that this team is 12-11 more than a month into the season.

In an effort to assuage the pain of last night's debacle in Boston, Baker illustrated the Yankees' myriad problems in a post today. He finished with this nugget:

So, cheer up Mariners fans. Things aren't all that bad. The team is 12-11, a half game out of first place and that stinker last night only counts for one loss. Let's at least wait and see what happens tonight before hitting any more panic buttons.
My question for Geoff -- or anyone else trying to have a potentially positive outlook on this team -- is this: What in the world could possibly happen tonight that would make any of us feel any better about where this team (and organization) is headed?

Let's say the M's go out and beat up on Kei Igawa, who has been a horrible pitcher this year and move back to two games over .500. What does that prove? If they go out beat the two other guys not named Wang, does that somehow prove that they're for real?

How long are people going to keep asking us to forget that this 12-11 start isn't built on a house of cards?

There's a legitimate reason we all are consistently waiting for the other shoe to drop -- we've amassed the record by playing the worst teams in the American League right now. Yes, the Mariners might have escaped last night with a win -- and it would have made us all feel a little bit better today -- but has there been even a shred of evidence this year that the M's could compete on a consistent basis with a team like that?

The bottom line is that the Mariners do not possess the tools to reach a sustained level of success this season. There are far too many flaws on this team, all of which have been well documented. Wins are preferable to losses, no doubt, but when you start evaluating how the M's got those 12 wins and whether it's reasonable for them to keep playing .500 ball, it's impossible not to be pessimistic. This team is terrible, and at some point, it will catch up to them with another six- to 10-game losing streak.

There's a big difference between enjoying a win and being happy, and it's going to take a lot more than 12 shaky wins to make us happy again.

Don't try to fight it, Geoff.

UPDATE: The Mariners beat the Yankees 15-11 in a battle of whose pitching was less horrific. Congrats, M's -- your pitching sucks less. And, no, I don't feel any better about anything.

Busy morning, hope to get a post up this afternoon

Um, yeah. Pretty much what the headline says.

5.03.2007

Exciting new ways to get your hands on content from HWTN

I'm always on the lookout for ways to make it easier for readers to get their Hangin' With The Nuss fix. Like many of you, I know there's just something that's a little irritating about visiting a site 14 times a day to see if any new content is up, since I update it at different times of the day.

Fear not.

You now have more options than ever for getting my latest thoughts. Check down the right-hand side of the blog, and under the "About Me" piece, you'll see three new options for getting content delivered just the way you like it.

  • Subscribe via e-mail: This is just what it says. Enter your e-mail address, then follow the confirmation link on the message that is sent to you and you'll be all set to receive daily content updates. The downside (or upside, depending on your perspective), is that it only sends you updates once a day, between 1 p.m. and 3 p.m. No instant notifications when content changes.
  • Subscribe via RSS feed: This option is if you use an RSS reader, a great tool available through most every Web browser and e-mail client. The benefit here is that you get content delivered to you instantly when it's published. If you click on the link, it will take you to feedburner.com's feed site, which will help you get it into things like Google or My Yahoo. If you're just interested in the XML link, here it is. If you have no idea what I'm talking about, read here. (Basically, RSS feeds keep you from having to visit a hundred sites a day to check for new content by delivering new stuff straight to you. Huge time saver once you learn how to use it.)
  • Add blog to Technorati favorites: Use Technorati to keep track of your favorite blogs. Click on this link to get started.
I hope this helps. If you have any questions on getting any of that stuff set up, feel free to e-mail me here. Happy reading!

5.02.2007

Quick thoughts on the night that was, plus the news of the day

I don't have a lot of time to write today, so here are some bulleted thoughts from what was a great night in sports.

  • There's a lot of evidence that what Jarrod Washburn is doing more a function of the crappy offenses he's facing than it is a function of anything he's doing differently on the mound, as Dave Cameron over at U.S.S. Mariner accurately describes. However, I'll say this: I don't much care if it's statistically sustainable; I'm just happy we're winning some games right now.

    It certainly seemed to me that Washburn got equally hammered by both good and bad offenses alike last year, and I'm inclined to say that Washburn has to have at least something to do with the statistical anomaly that this season is becoming. I can remember a lot of times last year when Washburn would consistently fall behind hitters, only to get pounded into submission. Maybe the fact that he's facing such bad teams has to do with him being more aggressive in the strike zone, and maybe it will come back to bite him when he faces his first great offense of the year in the Yankees on Sunday. I'm interested in finding out.

    (And, by the way, if you're interested in understanding Dave's reasoning behind how he evaluates pitchers, check out this article. It's a little dense, but it'll give you some background to help you understand how he reaches his conclusions.)

  • Unbelievable game in Dallas last night. I still think the series is over -- it ends Thursday night in Oakland -- but the reversal of roles in the last three minutes of the contest was so startling, it wouldn't surprise me now if the Warriors figure out a way to squander the series lead. (How's that for playing both sides of the fence!)

    For 4.9567 games, Golden State had been the loosey-goosey, we're-just-happy-to-be-here, there's-no-pressure-on-us team. Then, all of a sudden, when the pressure should have been on Dallas most -- facing elimination -- the Mavs and Dirk Nowitzki finally stopped wetting themselves and said, "Well, if we're going to go out in the next three minutes, we're going out swigning." That's the attitude they should have had all along, and now that they've discovered it ... well, that out to be enough to scare the crud out of the Warriors.

  • If you don't watch the NHL Stanley Cup playoffs, you just don't like sports, and you'll never be able to convince me otherwise. Period. It's some of the most riveting, intense television there is, and when it's on in HD ... well, let's just say I've been a very happy sports fan over the past few weeks. (Go Red Wings!)

  • Interesting story that further underscores the differences between the haves and the have-nots in college athletics: "The NCAA's latest Academic Progress Report, released Wednesday, shows historically black colleges and universities (HBCUs) account for about 13 percent of all schools facing potential scholarship losses or receiving warning letters because of poor classroom performance." Anyone think these HBCUs have dumber or less committed students than their BCS counterparts? Anyone? So what accounts for the difference? Hmmmmmm ... could it be the resources available to the players at schools with bloated athletics budgets?

  • Speaking of race in sports -- a topic that fascinates me, if you couldn't tell -- there's a story in the New York Times today detailing some research that suggests white NBA referees call fouls on black players at a higher rate than they do on white players. The NBA, of course, has done it's own study in response that (shockingly) finds there is no bias. However, the Times had three independent experts examine both studies, and all found the original study "far more sound."

    The most interesting point made in the article is this: "The paper by Mr. Wolfers and Mr. Price has yet to undergo formal peer review before publication in an economic journal, but several prominent academic economists said it would contribute to the growing literature regarding subconscious racism in the workplace and elsewhere, such as in searches by the police." Wanna find out if you've got subconscious racial tendencies? Take this test (Race IAT), and prepare yourself for the results ... you might not like what you find out.
That's probably it for today. I might check in later tonight.

5.01.2007

Nellie is so far in Mavs' heads, this series is over

I'll readily admit that I haven't made it much of a priority yet to watch the NBA playoffs -- I usually wait until at least the second round, once the riff-raff has been summarily dismissed from the party -- but one story line that's been impossible to ignore has been the performance of the Golden State Warriors, who stand on the verge of knocking off the No. 1 seed Dallas Mavericks tonight.

No one has ever questioned the Warriors' talent, but after two years of aimless direction under Mike Montgomery and myriad injuries (most notably to star guard Baron Davis), many wondered if they ever would become more than a bottom feeder in the hyper-competitive Western Conference.

Turns out, all they needed was a little luck -- and a little Nellie.

Surely, not even the most ardent Don Nelson supporter thought he had this in him when he made his not-so-triumphant return to the franchise that first branded him a coaching genius. Certainly not after being cast off so irreverently by the Mavericks, who believed Nelson protege Avery Johnson could lead them to the promised land sooner than the mentor.

Yet, here the aging teacher stands, showing the student that he still has a few tricks to teach.

Nelson has played this series perfectly. On the floor, he has put together an offensive game plan designed to exploit the defensive weaknesses of a team that has improved in that area under Johnson, but still employs essentially the same players as when Nellie roamed the Dallas sidelines. His defenders have swarmed and overwhelmed Dirk Nowitzki -- the player he, himself, drafted out of Germany -- at every turn, to the point that Nowitzki seems to have resigned himself to his fate.

"I got to take what they give me and they don't really give me a lot. So I've got to make other stuff happen -- help out on defense more; hit the glass harder, as hard as I can, get some extra possessions; if I have a shot, try to knock it down and if I don't, move the ball and let someone else make a shot."
To that, Johnson responds:
"I'm tired of hearing about how they've taken him out of his game and any lack of confidence. You're just not supposed to have that, all right? I wasn't the best of players and didn't have the best of skills, but you were not going to shake my confidence. We need all of our players to be confident, to be resilient, to be persistent and that's what I want to see tomorrow. If I don't see it at shootaround, I'm going to be highly upset ... because I need to have it going into that game tomorrow night. We've got to be confident and really sure about what we're doing."
Nelson, ever the mad scientist, seems to have mixed the perfect concoction to cause the Mavs to implode. Off the court, he's channeled his inner Lou Holtz, consistently singing the praises of the Mavs while lamenting his team's inability to match up with the mighty No. 1 seed. Check out these quotes (my italics added):
After game 1: "It was really a super win for our team. It was something that was unexpected, and that makes it that much better."
"We don't expect to be world champs at the end of the playoffs. But every time we play in a high-intensity game like these are going to be, we gain experience. I'm really happy about that."
"We knew if we could keep it close we could have a chance. This win gives us a lot of confidence, but this team has been to the championship and one loss is not going to affect them."
Before game 2:
"I think (the Mavericks will) do just fine the second game, they'll be dominant as they should be, and they'll probably mop us up, you know what I mean? We've got a better chance to get hit by lightning than to win tomorrow night."
After game 2:
"We're not good enough to lose a player to an ejection, much less two. It hurt us when we lost Baron. I thought we had a shot at the time. It wasn't to be."
Absolutely classic Nellie, who's even got the series' best player -- Baron Davis -- in on the "aw, shucks!" schtick.
After game 3 (Remember, this is after the Warriors already won one game in Dallas.): "I think we caught them off-guard tonight."
After game 4:
"Every game we play is a learning process and an adventure," and "Coming into the playoffs, Coach [Don Nelson] said we had nothing to lose. We just wanted to be in the playoffs for this city, for the whole Bay Area."
What it all adds up to is perhaps the most spectacular collapse in the history of the NBA playoffs, which, as a Sonics fan, is just fine by me. Intead of endless pictures of Dikembe Mutombo laying on his back, clutching a basketball after knocking off the No. 1 seed Sonics, we'll have pictures of Davis sinking a half-court shot.

After all, that Denver win was in a five-game series. This kind of stuff wasn't supposed to happen anymore.

Right Nellie?
"We have a great deal of respect for the Dallas Mavericks," Nelson said. "If any team can come back from this, it's them."
Riiiiiiiiiiiight.

4.30.2007

Interesting take on Felix's mechanics

Much has been made lately about Felix Hernandez's mechanics in light of his tender elbow -- Google "Felix Hernandez mechanics" and you'll see all the people jumping on the bandwagon -- but this is hardly a new thing for the big Venezuelan, who always has had a pretty violent delivery.

If you don't frequent Lookout Landing -- and if you're an M's fan, why don't you? -- jump over there to check out the interesting piece Jeff has put together analyzing Felix's motion based on some scientific evidence about what might actually put a pitcher's joints at risk.

This paper suggests a possible issue, giving us some evidence based on scientific investigation that Felix's delivery may put added stress on his elbow, and a potentially considerable amount, at that. It could be nothing, or it could be Felix's "natural" (and therefore uniquely safest) body position when throwing, but let's put it this way - if I were a high school pitching coach, and I had a young pitcher who threw with Felix's degree of tilt and elbow height, I'd work with him to change it by making his body a little more upright, and bringing his elbow down closer to perpendicular to his side. Just because it might not pose a problem doesn't mean you shouldn't still try to play the odds.

Of course, with Felix, it's a little different. When you have a guy as flipping extraordinary as Felix, you don't screw around with his delivery, not when he's already established himself in the Majors. The potential benefit of better health just isn't worth the potential cost of Felix losing his identity as a young phenom. So, in situations like this, you sit back, enjoy the performance, and cross your fingers that nothing gets wonky in the elbow or shoulder.
It's a well-reasoned, well-researched post that raises some interesting things to watch for -- and also cautions us to take it for what it's worth: Conjecture, albeit a little less of the subjective variety.